Gospodarstva v razmerah dolgoročno nizkih obrestnih mer

diplomsko delo

Dimitar Novakovski (Author), Jani Bekő (Mentor)

Abstract

V okviru pričujočega diplomskega dela obravnavamo trend upadanja ravni dolgoročnih realnih obrestnih mer v luči potencialnih dejavnikov za nastop omenjenega trenda in posledic le-tega na izbrane segmente gospodarstev. Proučevanja se lotevamo pretežno skozi prizmo realne ekonomske analize, pri čemer predpostavljamo, da so dejavniki, ki prispevajo k trendnemu upadanju realnih dolgoročnih obrestnih mer, v prvi vrsti realne narave in torej odražajo premike v strukturnih ekonomskih parametrih. Na podlagi obravnave nabora dejavnikov in njihovih karakteristik ugotavljamo, da je dejavnikov, ki so signifikantno prispevali k proučevanemu trendu več, njihove relativne prispevke pa je empirično težko določiti, kar je v prvi vrsti razvidno iz pomanjkanja soglasja v akademskih krogih v zvezi s tem vprašanjem. Pomanjkanje konsenza zaznamuje tudi razprave o pričakovani smeri gibanja realnih dolgoročnih obrestnih mer v prihodnje. Po našem mnenju to odraža kompleksnost tematike v smislu obstoja velikega števila pojasnjevalnih dejavnikov z relevantnostjo, ki se skozi čas spreminja.

Keywords

gospodarstvo;obresti;obrestna mera;dolgoročne obrestne mere;stagnacija;sekularna stagnacija;spodnja meja;

Data

Language:	Slovenian
Year of publishing:	2021
Typology:	2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:	UM EPF - Faculty of Economics and Business
Publisher:	D. Novakovski
UDC:	336.781
COBISS:	84281347
Views:	260
Downloads:	46
Average score:	0 (0 votes)
Metadata:

Other data

Secondary language:	English
Secondary title:	Economies in circumstances of low long-term interest rates
Secondary abstract:	The aim of the undergraduate dissertation is to provide an assessment of the downward trend in real long-term interest rates with regard to its causes and its implications for the economy. We approach the study from the point of view of real economic analysis; namely, we assume the driving forces behind the aforementioned trend to be primarily shifts in real, structural (as opposed to monetary) factors. Based on our analysis of a set of potential determinants we find there are numerous determinants, while their respective relative contributions are difficult to estimate quantitatively, which is mirrored in the lack of consensus regarding this topic among researchers. Lack of consensus also pervades debates about the likely future course of real long-term interest rates, which in our view is a reflection of the high degree of complexity in the sense of the presence of a multitude of relevant determinants with time-varying effects.
Secondary keywords:	Low Long-Term Interest Rates;Secular Stagnation;Zero Lower Bound.;
Type (COBISS):	Bachelor thesis/paper
Thesis comment:	Univ. v Mariboru, Ekonomsko-poslovna fak.
Pages:	53 str.
ID:	13302920