ǂA ǂmethodology for improving strategic decisions in social systems with a lack of information

Carlos A. Legna Verna (Author), Andrej Škraba (Author)

Abstract

The design of strategies for social systems requires the use of qualitative information owing to the fact that quantitative information can be insufficient to solve the problems involved. The information that the specialists and the decision makers obtain is often incomplete and unreliable. Nevertheless, leaders have to make strategic decisions despite these deficiencies which should be based on the formal models (Kljajić et al. 2000; Škraba et al, 2003; Škraba et al 2007). This paper describes a methodology elaborated to design the strategy of the city of Santa Cruz (on the Canary Islands). It has two main sections: the elaboration of a qualitative model and the use of System Dynamics. We combine them in a way that allows mixing qualitative and quantitative information to achieve a better understanding of the structure of the region, to know the tendencies of the present scenario and to estimate of the effects of alternative strategic decisions. We have obtained these results working with scarce quantitative information. This methodology may be applied to any social systems with similar characteristics.

Keywords

qualitative models;system dynamics;social strategies;

Data

Language:	English
Year of publishing:	2010
Typology:	1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:	UM FOV - Faculty of Organizational Sciences
Publisher:	Moderna organizacija
UDC:	005.2
COBISS:	6661139
ISSN:	1318-5454
Views:	617
Downloads:	273
Average score:	0 (0 votes)
Metadata:

Other data

Secondary language:	Slovenian
Secondary title:	Metodološki pristop k izboljšavam procesov strateškega odločanja v družbenih sistemih ob nepopolnih informacijah
Secondary abstract:	Oblikovanje strategij na področju družbenih sistemov zahteva uporabo kvalitativnih informacij, saj nabor razpoložljivih kvantitativnih informacij v večini primerov ni zadosten za celovito rešitev aktualnih odločitvenih problemov. Informacije, ki so na voljo strokovnjakom in tistim, ki se odločajo, so največkrat nepopolne in nezanesljive. Ne glede na to, morajo vodje sprejeti strateške odločitve, navkljub omenjenim pomanjkljivostim. Prispevek obravnava metodologijo, ki je bila razvita za potrebe strateškega odločanja v mestu Santa Cruz na Kanarskih otokih. Prispevek ima dva ključna dela: opis kvalitativnega modela in uporaba sistemske dinamike. Pri tem je izvedena kombinacija metodologij, ki omogočajo ustrezno prepletanje kvalitativnih in kvantitativnih informacij z namenom doseči boljše razumevanje strukture obravnavane regije, tendence trenutnih scenarijev in izvedbo ocene učinkov alternativnih strateških odločitev. Predstavljeni rezultati so pridobljeni na omejenem naboru kvantitativnih informacij. Opisano metodologijo je moč uporabiti na kateremkoli družbenem sistemu s podobnimi karakteristikami.
Secondary keywords:	kvantitativno modeliranje;sistemska dinamika;strateške odločitve;
URN:	URN:NBN:SI
Type (COBISS):	Scientific work
Pages:	Str. 102-112
Volume:	43
Issue:	3
DOI:	10.2478/v10051-010-0011-4
ID:	1730821