Tamara Bračko (Author), Bojan Žlender (Author), Primož Jelušič (Author)

Abstract

The objective of this study is to determine the impacts of expected climate change on slope stability. For this purpose, the case study of a slope instability, that was triggered in 2021 was selected. The stability analysis was performed considering the theory of rainfall infiltration and using Geo-Studio’s SEEP/W module for the surface infiltration model of the slope. A parametric stability analysis of the slope was conducted to determine the importance of climate change on slope stability. Conditions for changes in volumetric water content, water permeability, porewater pressure, and groundwater flow are important. When soil permeability is low, the factor of safety decreases during rainfall events and on the days following, while when permeability is higher, safety increases after rainfall events. The effect of lower cohesion is nearly linear, with the factor of safety decreasing by 0.1 for every 1 kPa less cohesion. The increase in net infiltration of water may be the most critical factor for slope instability. The results of the analysis indicate that timely reduction of water net infiltration through planting and proper surface water runoff from the upper road and slope would be a relatively simple and inexpensive measure compared to the cost of remediating the landslide, considering expected climate change. Therefore, it is advisable to analyze all slopes with respect to the expected climate change, taking into account the potential impacts of climate change.

Keywords

prilagajanje podnebnim spremembam;stabilnost brežin;infiltracija padavin;infiltracija vodne mreže;analize pronicanja padavin;climate change adaptation;slope stability;rainfall infiltration;water net infiltration;seepage analyses;

Data

Language: English
Year of publishing:
Typology: 1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization: UM FGPA - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture
Publisher: MDPI
UDC: 624.04:556.3
COBISS: 119193603 Link will open in a new window
ISSN: 2076-3417
Views: 478
Downloads: 84
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Other data

Secondary language: Slovenian
Secondary keywords: prilagajanje podnebnim spremembam;stabilnost brežin;infiltracija padavin;infiltracija vodne mreže;analize pronicanja padavin;
Type (COBISS): Scientific work
Pages: 17 str.
Volume: ǂVol. ǂ12
Issue: ǂiss. ǂ16 (8171)
Chronology: Aug. 2022
DOI: 10.3390/app12168171
ID: 19818212
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