Uroš Horvat (Author), Igor Žiberna (Author), Igor Žiberna (Cartographer), Igor Žiberna (Photographer)

Abstract

The paper focuses on determining the degree of correlation between land-use changes and demographic development in Slovenia. The authors conclude that there is still insufficient evidence in the literature for a correlation between these two processes, because quantitative studies addressing these links are very rare and mostly cover small and specific areas. In the case of Slovenia, Spearman’s correlation coefficients are quite low, which confirms that land-use change processes are complex and not dependent solely on individual demographic and socioeconomic factors. Despite the low correlation coefficients, our findings indicate that changes in land use are significantly influenced by changes in age structure and population growth. In areas with population growth the share of arable land is shrinking, whereas in areas with depopulation and a rising aging index the share of partially overgrown land is growing. In the following analysis, the authors focus their analysis on a case study of the Mura and Central Slovenia statistical regions, which lie on opposite poles with regard to development, and thus show differing trends in land-use changes.

Keywords

geography;agricultural land;arable land;afforestation;demography;age structure;Slovenia;

Data

Language: English
Year of publishing:
Typology: 1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization: UM FF - Faculty of Arts
Publisher: Geografski inštitut Antona Melika ZRC SAZU, Založba ZRC, Slovenska akademija znanosti in umetnosti
UDC: 911.3:711.14:314(497.4)
COBISS: 51323395 Link will open in a new window
ISSN: 1581-6613
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Other data

Secondary language: Slovenian
Secondary title: Povezanost med demografskim razvojem in spremembami rabe zemljišč v Sloveniji
Secondary abstract: Avtorja se osredotočata na ugotavljanje stopnje povezanosti sprememb v rabi zemljišč in demografskim razvojem v Sloveniji. Ugotavljata, da v literaturi ni dovolj dokazov o povezavi med obema procesoma, saj so kvantitativne študije, ki obravnavajo te povezave, zelo redke in večinoma vezane na proučevanje prostorsko majhnih in specifičnih območij. Tudi na primeru Slovenije so Spearmanovi koeficienti korelacije precej nizki, kar potrjuje da so procesi spreminjanja rabe zemljišč kompleksni in niso odvisni le od posameznih demografskih in socio-ekonomskih dejavnikov. Kljub nizkim korelacijskim koeficientom pa rezultati nakazujejo, da na procese spreminjanja rabe zemljišč pomembno vplivajo spremembe v starostni sestavi prebivalstva in rast prebivalstva. V območjih z rastjo prebivalstva se obseg obdelovanih površin zmanjšuje, v območjih depopulacije in višanja indeksa staranja pa narašča delež zemljišč v zaraščanju. V nadaljevanju analize se avtorja osredotočita na analizo primera v Pomurski in Osrednjeslovenski statistični regiji, ki glede na stopnjo razvitosti ležita na nasprotnih polih, in kažeta različne trende v spremembah rabe zemljišč.
Secondary keywords: geografija;kmetijska zemljišča;obdelovalne površine;raba tal;ogozdovanje;demografija;starostna sestava;Slovenia;
Type (COBISS): Scientific work
Pages: str. 33-55
Volume: 60
Issue: ǂšt. ǂ2
Chronology: 2020
DOI: 10.3986/AGS.7611
ID: 25762364