Devizni tečaj dinarja in konkurenčnost srbskega gospodarstva

delo diplomskega seminarja

Irena Ratković (Author), Darja Boršič (Mentor)

Abstract

Delo diplomskega seminarja z naslovom Devizni tečaj dinarja in konkurenčnost srbskega gospodarstva je razdeljeno na dva dela, teoretični, ki vsebuje že znana dejstva in empirični, ki vsebuje statistične podatke in predstavijo srbsko gospodarstvo. V teoretičnem delu je pomembna opredelitev deviznega tečaja in njegove definicije. Tukaj smo predstavili, nominalni, realni in efektivni devizni tečaj, klasifikacijo (po IMF) in teorije oblikovanja deviznih tečajev, kot so plačilnobilančna teorija, teorija paritete kupne moči, monetarna ali denarna teorija in premoženjska ali portfeljska teorija. Tudi politična situacija v državi močno vpliva na gibanje deviznih tečajev in s tem tudi na konkurenčnost gospodarstva. Prav zato je pomembna tudi predstavitev srbskega gospodarstva, če namreč vemo, kaj se je dogajalo v državi tako na političnem kot na ekonomskem področju, lažje razumemo razmere v državi. Kazalniki, kot so globalna konkurenčnost, konkurenčnost turizma in kreditni ugled še dodatno oblikujejo sliko gospodarstva. V teoretičnem delu smo predstavili še deviznotečajno politiko v Srbiji. Na to smo navezali empirični del, ki predstavlja izračune nominalnega, realnega in efektivnega deviznega tečaja v obdobju od 2003 do 2008. Pri empiričnem delu smo upoštevali največje izvozne partnerice Srbije v tem obdobju. Najprej smo predstavili nominalni devizni tečaj dinarja v primerjavi z vsako izvozno partnerico. Temu so sledili izračuni realnega deviznega tečaja, ki so nam povedali, če je domače (srbsko) gospodarstvo pridobilo ali izgubilo na konkurenčnosti v primerjavi s svojim partnerjem. Na koncu smo izračunali nominalni efektivni in realni efektivni devizni tečaj. Pri nominalnem efektivnem deviznem tečaju smo pogledali, kako se giblje valuta (dinar) v odnosu na tehtano povprečje valut drugih držav, vključenih v košarici. Pri realnem efektivnem deviznem tečaju smo nominalni efektivni devizni tečaj tako prilagodili, da je postal uporaben za merjenje mednarodne konkurenčnosti države.

Keywords

devize;devizna politika;devizni tečaji;devizni trg;devizno poslovanje;konkurenčnost;Srbija;

Data

Language:	Slovenian
Year of publishing:	2010
Source:	Maribor
Typology:	2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:	UM EPF - Faculty of Economics and Business
Publisher:	[I. Ratković]
UDC:	336.748(497.11)
COBISS:	10541596
Views:	2219
Downloads:	172
Average score:	0 (0 votes)
Metadata:

Other data

Secondary language:	English
Secondary title:	Exchange rate of dinar and competitiveness of Serbian economy
Secondary abstract:	The thesis entitled Exchange rate of dinar and competitiveness of Serbian economy is separated in two parts, theoretical, which includes already known facts and empirical, which includes statistical facts and calculations that show the whole picture of Serbian economy. Determination of exchange rate and its definition are important in theoretical part. There we have presented nominal, real and effective exchange rate, classification (according to IMF) and theories of shaping exchange rates, like balance of payments, purchasing power parity, monetary or cash theory and property or portfolio theory. Political situation also effect exchange rate and competitiveness of economy. Because of that, presentation of Serbian economy is important too, as we can easily understand the conditions in the country. Indicators, like global competitiveness, tourism competitiveness and credit reputation, additionally shape the picture of economy. In theoretical part we also introduced exchange rate policy in Serbia. To that we have connected empirical part, which represents calculations of nominal, real and effective exchange rate since 2003 to 2008. In the empirical part we considered biggest export partners of Serbia in that period. Firstly, we have represented nominal exchange rate for every export partner in comparison with dinar. That is followed by calculations of real exchange rate, which told us, if domestic (Serbian) economy have increased or decreased competitiveness in comparison with its partner. At the end, we have calculated nominal effective and real effective exchange rate. The nominal effective exchange rate present movement of individual currency (DIN) in relation to average movement of other currencies, included in the basket. In real effective exchange rate, we customized nominal effective exchange rate so that it became usable for measuring international competitiveness of the country.
Secondary keywords:	bilateral exchange rate;effective exchange rate;exchange rate policy;international competitiveness and Serbia.;
URN:	URN:SI:UM:
Type (COBISS):	Final seminar paper
Thesis comment:	Univ. v Mariboru, Ekonomsko-poslovna fak.
Pages:	51 str.
Keywords (UDC):	social sciences;družbene vede;economics;economic science;ekonomija;ekonomske vede;finance;finance;money;monetary system;banking;stock exchanges;denar;monetarni sistem;bančništvo;borzništvo;
ID:	8761839