delo diplomskega projekta
Klemen Rakovič (Author), Darja Boršič (Mentor)

Abstract

V tem delu diplomskega projekta je predstavljena ekonometrična analiza izvoznih funkcij za izbrana majhna gospodarstva Evropske unije. Izbor držav za analizo je potekal na podlagi makroekonomskih lastnosti, pri čemer smo želeli izbrati tri gospodarstva, ki so si med seboj čim bolj različna. Za vsako izmed treh izbranih držav smo zasnovali linearno in dvojno logaritemsko obliko izvozne funkcije, kateri smo med seboj primerjali ter izbrali ustreznejšo za nadaljnjo analizo. Pojasnjevalne spremenljivke, ki smo jih uporabljali pri sestavi funkcij, so indeks industrijske proizvodnje, bruto plače v industriji in pogoji menjave. Pri vseh treh gospodarstvih smo ocenili, da je primernejši dvojni logaritemski model. V nadaljevanju smo za izbrane funkcije preverjali štiri predpostavke. To so normalna porazdelitev, neprisotnost multikolinearnosti, neprisotnost heteroskedastičnosti ter neprisotnost avtokorelacije. Prve tri predpostavke smo lahko potrdili, slednjo pa ne. Avtokorelacijo je zato bilo potrebno odpraviti, kar smo storili s pomočjo avtoregresijskih členov.

Keywords

ekonometrična analiza;izvozna funkcija;gospodarstvo;Evropska unija;

Data

Language: Slovenian
Year of publishing:
Typology: 2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization: UM EPF - Faculty of Economics and Business
Publisher: [K. Rakovič]
UDC: 330.43:339.564
COBISS: 13173276 Link will open in a new window
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Other data

Secondary language: English
Secondary title: Determinants of export in small economies of the European Union with econometric analysis of selected countries
Secondary abstract: This bachelor's thesis presents an econometric analysis of export functions for selected small economies of the European Union. The selection of countries for analysis was based on macroeconomic characteristics, wherein we wanted to select three economies that differentiate from each other as much as possible. For each of the three selected countries, we designed a linear and a double logarithmic form of the export function, which we compared and selected the more suitable one for further analysis. The explanatory variables used in the composition of functions are the index of industrial production, gross wages in industry and terms of trade. In all three economies, we estimated that a double logarithmic model is more appropriate. Hereinafter, four assumptions were checked for the selected functions. These are normal distribution, the absence of multicollinearity, the absence of heteroskedasticity, and the absence of autocorrelation. The first three assumptions could be confirmed, but the latter did not. The presence of autocorrelation therefore had to be eliminated, which was done with the help of autoregressive model.
Secondary keywords: econometric analysis;export function;small economies;European Union;
URN: URN:SI:UM:
Type (COBISS): Diploma project paper
Thesis comment: Univ. v Mariboru, Ekonomsko-poslovna fak.
Pages: IV, 64 str., XX str. pril.
ID: 10954960