Predator control needs a standard of unbiased randomized experiments with cross-over design

Adrian Treves (Avtor), Miha Krofel (Avtor), Omar Ohrens (Avtor), Lily M. van Eeden (Avtor)

Povzetek

Rapid, global changes, such as extinction and climate change, put a premium on evidence-based, environmental policies and interventions, including predator control efforts. Lack of solid scientific evidence precludes strong inference about responses of predators, people, and prey of both, to various types of predator control. Here we formulate two opposing hypotheses with possible underlying mechanisms and propose experiments to test four pairs of opposed predictions about responses of predators, domestic animals, and people in a coupled, dynamic system. We outline the design of a platinum-standard experiment, namely randomized, controlled experiment with cross-over design and multiple steps to blind measurement, analysis, and peer review to avoid pervasive biases. The gold-standard has been proven feasible in field experiments with predators and livestock, so we call for replicating that across the world on different methods of predator control, in addition to striving for an even higher standard that can improve reproducibility and reliability of the science of predator control.

Ključne besede

učinkovita intervencija;škode zaradi divjadi;zanesljivo sklepanje;standardi dokazovanja;nadzor plenilcev;kontrolni poskusi;effective intervention;wildlife damage;strong inference;Standards of evidence;Predator control;experiments;Randomized controlled trials;RCT;

Podatki

Jezik:	Angleški jezik
Leto izida:	2019
Tipologija:	1.01 - Izvirni znanstveni članek
Organizacija:	UL BF - Biotehniška fakulteta
UDK:	630*
COBISS:	5568934
ISSN:	2296-701X
Št. ogledov:	437
Št. prenosov:	150
Ocena:	0 (0 glasov)
Metapodatki:

Ostali podatki

Sekundarni jezik:	Slovenski jezik
Sekundarne ključne besede:	učinkovita intervencija;škode zaradi divjadi;zanesljivo sklepanje;standardi dokazovanja;nadzor plenilcev;kontrolni poskusi;
Strani:	14 str.
Letnik:	ǂVol. ǂ7
Zvezek:	ǂarticle ǂ462
Čas izdaje:	2019
DOI:	10.3389/fevo.2019.00462
ID:	11411910