ǂThe ǂimpact of climate change on urban thermal environment dynamics

Igor Žiberna (Avtor), Nataša Pipenbaher (Avtor), Daša Donša (Avtor), Sonja Škornik (Avtor), Mitja Kaligarič (Avtor), Lučka Kajfež-Bogataj (Avtor), Zalika Črepinšek (Avtor), Jaša Veno Grujić (Avtor), Danijel Ivajnšič (Avtor)

Povzetek

The human population is increasing. The ongoing urbanization process, in conjunction with climate change, is causing larger environmental footprints. Consequently, quality of life in urban systems worldwide is under immense pressure. Here, the seasonal characteristics of Maribor's urban thermal environment were studied from the perspectives of surface urban heat island (SUHI) and urban heat island (UHI) A remote sensing thermal imagery time series and in-situ measurements (stationary and mobile) were combined with select geospatial predictor variables to model this atmospheric phenomenon in its most intensive season (summer). Finally, CMIP6 climate change scenarios and models were considered, to predict future UHI intensity. Results indicate that Maribor's UHI intensity maximum shifted from winter to spring and summer. The implemented generalized additive model (GAM) underestimates UHI intensity in some built-up parts of the study area and overestimates UHI intensity in green vegetated areas. However, by the end of the century, UHI magnitude could increase by more than 60% in the southern industrial part of the city. Such studies are of particular concern, in regards to the increasing frequency of heat waves due to climate change, which further increases the (already present) heat stress in cities across the globe.

Ključne besede

urbanizacija;mestni toplotni otoki;poletni vročinski stres;GAM;CMIP6;urbanisation;urban heat island;summer heat stress;

Podatki

Jezik:	Angleški jezik
Leto izida:	2021
Tipologija:	1.01 - Izvirni znanstveni članek
Organizacija:	UM FF - Filozofska fakulteta
UDK:	502.3:504.7:502.5:551.58
COBISS:	75887619
ISSN:	2073-4433
Št. ogledov:	0
Št. prenosov:	0
Ocena:	0 (0 glasov)
Metapodatki:

Ostali podatki

Sekundarni jezik:	Slovenski jezik
Sekundarne ključne besede:	urbanizacija;mestni toplotni otoki;poletni vročinski stres;GAM;CMIP6;
Vrsta dela (COBISS):	Članek v reviji
Strani:	ǂstr. ǂ1-15
Letnik:	ǂVol. ǂ12
Zvezek:	ǂiss. ǂ9
Čas izdaje:	2021
DOI:	10.3390/atmos12091159
ID:	15023668