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Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations
Katharine Sherratt, Katharine Sherratt, Hugo Gruson, Rok Grah, Helen Johnson, Rene Niehus, Bastian Prasse, Frank Sandmann, Jannik Deuschel, Daniel Wolffram, Sam Abbott, Janez Žibert
Izvirni znanstveni članek
Oznake: infectious diseases forecatsting;epidemiology;mathematical modeling;capacity planning;COVID-19;combining independent models;ensemble forecast;
Background: Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive performance of such forecasts if multiple mo ...
Leto: 2023 Vir: Zdravstvena fakulteta (UL ZF)
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